Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.7% | 97.3% | +23.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +16.6 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +3 (69-66). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +10.7 |
| Tyler Brown * | 31 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 10 | +10.1 |
| Bryant Allen * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Jon Ekey * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Johnny Hill * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Nick Zeisloft | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +15.2 |
| John Wilkins | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +12.9 |
| Anthony Cousin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +10.3 |
| Jordan Threloff | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russ Smith * | 35 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 11-14 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 8 | +4.7 |
| Peyton Siva * | 30 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +4.5 |
| Chane Behanan * | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | +1.4 |
| Wayne Blackshear * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Zach Price * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.3 |
| Stephan Van Treese | 34 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | +5.0 |
| Luke Hancock | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Kevin Ware | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -15.0 |
| Montrezl Harrell | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5.7 |
* = starter