Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +3 (69-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carmichael * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| T. Brown * | 31 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 10 | - |
| B. Allen * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Hill * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Zeisloft | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Wilkins | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Cousin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Threloff | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith * | 35 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 11-14 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 8 | - |
| P. Siva * | 30 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Price * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 34 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| L. Hancock | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Ware | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Harrell | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter