Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +2 (60-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Odum * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Arop * | 31 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Gant * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| R. Mahurin * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Brown * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Cummings | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Eitel | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Smith | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Kitchell | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carmichael * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| T. Brown * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Hill * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| B. Allen * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Ekey | 21 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Cousin | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Keane | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter