Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +6 (83-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | -10.9 |
| Tyler Brown * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -11.1 |
| Bryant Allen * | 32 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | -19.9 |
| John Wilkins * | 32 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | -21.7 |
| Johnny Hill * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Kaza Keane | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | -7.0 |
| Jon Ekey | 16 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +6.9 |
| Anthony Cousin | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -4 | -8.7 |
| Nick Zeisloft | 13 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -0.2 |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walt Lemon Jr. * | 39 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | +17.2 |
| Dyricus Simms-Edwards * | 39 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +23.1 |
| Jake Eastman * | 34 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +18.1 |
| Tyshon Pickett * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | +10.8 |
| Jordan Prosser * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Will Egolf | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +22.7 |
| Jalen Crawford | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -0.3 |
| Shayok Shayok | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -9.8 |
| Ka'Darryl Bell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
* = starter