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2013-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% -
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% -
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% -
Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.2% 24.8% -
Log Adjusted 75.4% 24.6% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +6 (83-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carmichael * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 1 3 16 23 -
J. Wilkins * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 16 24 -
T. Brown * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 6 0 0 4 13 23 -
B. Allen * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 9 9 -
J. Hill * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 6 10 -
K. Keane 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 0 0 -
J. Ekey 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 2 11 14 -
N. Zeisloft 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 10 -
A. Cousin 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 5 0 -3 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Lemon Jr. * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 5 0 3 27 35 -
D. Simms-Edwards * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 4 0 2 15 28 -
J. Eastman * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 3 0 2 9 17 -
T. Pickett * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 15 20 -
J. Prosser * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
W. Egolf 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 9 12 -
J. Crawford 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
S. Shayok 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Bell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter