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2013-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 45.1% 54.9% -
Bradley-Terry 55.5% 44.5% -
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Log Adjusted 47.7% 52.3% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -5 (77-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Simons * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 23 28 -
C. Hines * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 3 0 2 23 31 -
J. Clarke * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 0 1 16 27 -
M. Mason * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 4 6 7 -
S. VanDeest * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. King 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 4 0 0 2 11 24 -
R. Carter 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
J. Jeffers 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Ugbede 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Allen * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 22 27 -
J. Hill * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 2 24 35 -
J. Carmichael * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 4 2 19 34 -
J. Ekey * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 5 9 -
J. Wilkins 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 5 10 -
K. Keane 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 2 3 -
A. Cousin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
N. Zeisloft 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
J. Threloff 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Upshaw 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter