Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs -8 (86-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Brown * | 35 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 21 | - |
| J. Carmichael * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 12 | - |
| B. Allen * | 30 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Hill * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 23 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 26 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| J. Ekey | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| K. Keane | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Cousin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Zeisloft | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Simons * | 35 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Hines * | 33 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Clarke * | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| S. VanDeest * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Carter | 31 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. King | 24 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| G. Ricks Jr. | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Jeffers | 9 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Mason | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter