Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Allen * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| J. Carmichael * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 31 | - |
| T. Brown * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 42 | - |
| J. Hill * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| K. Keane | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Wilkins | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Z. Upshaw | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Cousin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Threloff | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 21 | - |
| M. Jean * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| B. Clifford * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| S. Butterfield * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| J. Shaw * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 29 | - |
| T. Roland | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| J. Stone | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
* = starter