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2013-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 78.0% 22.0% -
Bradley-Terry 78.5% 21.5% -
Margin 83.4% 16.6% -8.9 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% -
Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.8% 11.2% -
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -7 (72-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Manigat * 37 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 6 1 -
A. Chatman * 35 2-5 1-3 2-2 7 4 2 0 4 7 11 -
D. McDermott * 35 5-10 1-2 4-5 9 3 0 1 1 15 17 -
G. Gibbs * 27 6-12 2-4 2-2 6 7 0 0 1 16 16 -
G. Echenique * 23 5-6 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 0 1 12 11 -
E. Wragge 21 6-10 6-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 18 9 -
A. Dingman 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
A. Yates 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Allen * 34 6-10 3-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 15 11 -
J. Carmichael * 29 5-12 0-1 0-2 6 1 1 1 1 10 6 -
T. Brown * 29 5-15 3-8 2-2 3 6 0 0 1 15 8 -
J. Ekey * 20 1-7 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Hill * 8 0-2 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
N. Zeisloft 24 2-6 2-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
K. Keane 22 2-2 2-2 1-2 4 6 0 0 3 7 12 -
Z. Upshaw 18 4-5 3-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 11 11 -
J. Wilkins 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Threloff 6 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

* = starter