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Bradley Braves 59
@
Illinois State Redbirds 79
2013-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 68.6% 31.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% - ✓
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 ✗ (20.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% - ✓
Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% - ✓

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +20 (79-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Lemon Jr. * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 4 15 19 -
J. Eastman * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 0 1 11 22 -
W. Egolf * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 2 8 17 -
T. Pickett * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 10 18 -
D. Simms-Edwards * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 0 4 -
J. Prosser 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Crawford 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 10 -
K. Bell 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
S. Shayok 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Knezevic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
N. Wells 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Alwan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carmichael * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 3 0 27 43 -
T. Brown * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 2 0 3 22 34 -
B. Allen * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 7 7 -
J. Hill * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 7 10 -
J. Wilkins * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 7 11 -
J. Ekey 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 4 14 -
K. Keane 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
N. Zeisloft 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Threloff 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Cousin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Upshaw 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Stacho 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter