🐻⬇️🏀

@
2012-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 15.1% 84.9% -
Bradley-Terry 19.1% 80.9% -
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% -
Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% -
Log Adjusted 16.5% 83.5% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers -1 (73-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carmichael * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 2 6 25 35 -
T. Brown * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 4 16 18 -
B. Allen * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 7 11 -
J. Hill * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 2 0 1 4 17 -
J. Ekey * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 13 19 -
K. Keane 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 2 6 -
J. Wilkins 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 3 1 -
N. Zeisloft 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Threloff 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dillard * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 6 14 15 -
D. Pierre * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 14 21 -
J. Benson * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 13 18 -
D. Oliver * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 7 -
V. Sanford * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 8 3 -
K. Price 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 8 -
A. Gavrilovic 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 10 -
M. Derenbecker 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 9 -
J. Robinson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 2 8 -
D. Scott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter