Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Wichita State Shockers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wichita State Shockers +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carmichael * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| B. Allen * | 35 | 3-13 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Hill * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Wilkins | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Brown | 26 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Keane | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| A. Cousin | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams * | 35 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| M. Armstead * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| C. Early * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| T. Cotton * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| E. Orukpe * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Hall | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| N. Wiggins | 18 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| F. VanVleet | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. White | 11 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
* = starter