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2013-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Missouri State Bears Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 28.8% 71.2% -
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 (32.7 off)
Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +36 (86-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Downing * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 12 17 -
C. Kirk * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 8 9 -
M. Marshall * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 8 12 -
K. Pickens * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 7 13 -
D. Williams * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 7 -
D. Wilson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 0 7 -
N. Scheer 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
G. Thurman 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
M. Simpson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
B. Marshall 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Aromona 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Carmichael 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Carmichael * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 2 1 16 31 -
T. Brown * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 25 31 -
J. Hill * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 15 24 -
A. Cousin * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 2 6 -
J. Wilkins * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 9 12 -
B. Allen 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 5 8 -
J. Ekey 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 4 2 0 9 17 -
K. Keane 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 5 12 -
Z. Upshaw 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 4 -
M. Stacho 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Threloff 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter