Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.5% | 64.5% | +3.3 | ✓ (32.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +36 (86-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Downing * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| C. Kirk * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Marshall * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Pickens * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| D. Williams * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. Wilson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| N. Scheer | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| G. Thurman | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Simpson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Marshall | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Aromona | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Carmichael | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Carmichael * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 31 | - |
| T. Brown * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 31 | - |
| J. Hill * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| A. Cousin * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| B. Allen | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Ekey | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| K. Keane | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Z. Upshaw | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| M. Stacho | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Threloff | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter