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Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

2011 Team Stats (36 games)

80.9
PPG
64.7
Opp
+16.2
Margin
47.2%
FG%
37.4%
3P%
75.1%
FT%
37.7
RPG
14.2
APG
12.1
TO
81.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1866 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1718 (#1) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +42.6 (#4) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.868 (#2) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +22.2 More → 0.929 (#4) NetEff +22.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.3 More → 0.936 (#3) AdjNet +23.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.4 More → 0.937 (#3) AdjNet +23.4

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-14 vs Princeton Tigers W 97 - 60
2010-11-16 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 79 - 45
2010-11-19 vs Colgate Raiders W 110 - 58
2010-11-22 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 82 - 77
2010-11-23 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 82 - 68
2010-11-27 @ Oregon Ducks W 98 - 71
2010-12-01 vs Michigan State Spartans W 84 - 79
2010-12-04 vs Butler Bulldogs W 82 - 70
2010-12-08 vs Bradley Braves W 83 - 48
2010-12-11 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 84 - 47
2010-12-20 vs Elon Phoenix W 98 - 72
2010-12-29 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 108 - 62
2011-01-02 vs Miami Hurricanes W 74 - 63
2011-01-05 vs UAB Blazers W 85 - 64
2011-01-09 vs Maryland Terrapins W 71 - 64
2011-01-12 @ Florida State Seminoles L 61 - 66
2011-01-15 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 76 - 60
2011-01-19 @ NC State Wolfpack W 92 - 78
2011-01-22 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 83 - 59
2011-01-27 vs Boston College Eagles W 84 - 68
2011-01-30 @ St. John's Red Storm L 78 - 93
2011-02-02 @ Maryland Terrapins W 80 - 62
2011-02-05 vs NC State Wolfpack W 76 - 52
2011-02-09 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 79 - 73
2011-02-13 @ Miami Hurricanes W 81 - 71
2011-02-16 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 56 - 41
2011-02-20 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 79 - 57
2011-02-23 vs Temple Owls W 78 - 61
2011-02-26 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 60 - 64
2011-03-02 vs Clemson Tigers W 70 - 59
2011-03-05 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 67 - 81
2011-03-11 vs Maryland Terrapins W 87 - 71
2011-03-12 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 77 - 63
2011-03-13 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 75 - 58
2011-03-18 vs Hampton Pirates W 87 - 45
2011-03-20 vs Michigan Wolverines W 73 - 71
2011-03-24 vs Arizona Wildcats L 77 - 93

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Thomas J. Thomas - 1 0.0 27.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 16.0 16.0 - - - 62.5 100.0 50.0 0.41 76.0 78.1
N. Smith N. Smith G 37 34.0 20.6 4.5 5.1 1.2 0.1 3.2 15.4 13.0 - - - 45.8 35.0 81.3 - 57.1 50.8
K. Irving K. Irving G 11 27.5 17.5 3.4 4.3 1.5 0.5 2.5 9.5 15.2 - - - 52.9 46.2 90.1 - 71.0 61.5
K. Singler K. Singler F 37 34.8 16.9 6.8 1.6 0.9 0.3 1.9 13.8 10.9 - - - 43.0 32.1 80.6 - 54.1 49.1
K. Christmas-Kelly K. Christmas-Kelly - 1 0.0 12.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 - - - 40.0 25.0 100.0 - 53.0 45.0
S. Curry S. Curry G 37 25.0 9.0 1.8 2.0 1.4 0.1 0.9 6.5 6.9 - - - 42.3 43.5 78.8 - 60.2 55.6
A. Dawkins A. Dawkins G 37 21.0 8.1 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.8 5.6 4.8 - - - 48.1 42.7 79.1 - 65.7 63.5
K. Thomas K. Thomas - 1 0.0 8.0 17.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 18.0 -20 -20.0 -857.1 50.0 0 66.7 -1.2 54.6 50.0
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 37 25.6 7.2 8.4 1.6 0.9 1.7 1.9 5.1 12.6 - - - 59.3 0.0 44.1 - 57.6 59.3
R. Kelly R. Kelly F 37 20.1 6.6 3.7 0.8 0.7 1.4 0.8 5.0 7.5 - - - 51.6 31.9 80.5 - 60.6 57.6
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee F 37 17.0 4.8 4.9 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.9 3.8 6.4 - - - 51.8 0 59.3 - 54.1 51.8
C. Gray C. Gray - 1 0.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 69.4 50.0
A. Vernerey A. Vernerey - 1 0.0 3.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 - - - 14.3 0 50.0 - 19.0 14.3
T. Thornton T. Thornton G 34 9.9 1.6 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.9 2.3 - - - 44.8 26.7 83.9 - 65.7 51.7
J. Hairston J. Hairston F 27 6.1 1.4 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.3 - - - 36.1 0 56.5 - 42.3 36.1
C. Peters C. Peters G 10 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Zafirovski T. Zafirovski F 5 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG