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2011-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 3.0% 97.0% -
Bradley-Terry 8.7% 91.3% -
Margin 3.0% 97.0% +19.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 30.1% 69.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +16 (84-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Trapani * 35 6-13 2-4 0-0 11 3 0 0 3 14 12 -
B. Paris * 33 4-12 3-7 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 11 8 -
D. Elmore * 32 4-5 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 10 10 -
C. Raji * 31 7-12 2-4 2-4 3 1 1 0 3 18 8 -
J. Southern * 22 3-7 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
R. Jackson 32 3-11 0-4 1-2 1 6 0 0 3 7 0 -
G. Moton 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Rubin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Dunn 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith * 39 10-20 1-3 7-7 3 8 1 0 1 28 19 -
K. Singler * 39 5-14 2-7 2-2 6 3 1 0 1 14 9 -
S. Curry * 33 6-9 5-7 3-4 2 3 3 0 2 20 17 -
R. Kelly * 30 6-9 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 4 1 14 13 -
M. Plumlee * 23 3-4 0-0 2-6 12 1 1 1 0 8 19 -
M. Plumlee 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 4 0 1 0 3 -
A. Dawkins 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
T. Thornton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Hairston 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter