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2011-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“
Margin 4.0% 96.0% +17.4 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.6% 98.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.5% 98.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +16 (84-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Trapani * 35 6-13 2-4 0-0 11 3 0 0 3 14 12 -
Biko Paris * 33 4-12 3-7 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 11 8 -
Dallas Elmore * 32 4-5 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 10 10 -
Corey Raji * 31 7-12 2-4 2-4 3 1 1 0 3 18 8 -
Josh Southern * 22 3-7 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
Reggie Jackson 32 3-11 0-4 1-2 1 6 0 0 3 7 0 -
Gabriel Moton 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Danny Rubin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cortney Dunn 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nolan Smith * 39 10-20 1-3 7-7 3 8 1 0 1 28 19 -
Kyle Singler * 39 5-14 2-7 2-2 6 3 1 0 1 14 9 -
Seth Curry * 33 6-9 5-7 3-4 2 3 3 0 2 20 17 -
Ryan Kelly * 30 6-9 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 4 1 14 13 -
M. Plumlee * 23 3-4 0-0 2-6 12 1 1 1 0 8 19 -
M. Plumlee 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 4 0 1 0 3 -
Andre Dawkins 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Tyler Thornton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Josh Hairston 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter