Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Bowie * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Williams * | 31 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Dino Gregory * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Sean Mosley * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Terrell Stoglin * | 24 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Cliff Tucker | 29 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| H. Palsson | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pe'Shon Howard | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| James Padgett | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Berend Weijs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Smith * | 40 | 5-18 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 40 | 10-19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Andre Dawkins * | 30 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Seth Curry | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter