🐻⬇️🏀

Virginia Tech Hokies 63
@
Duke Blue Devils 77
2011-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 16.3% 83.7% - ✓
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.4 ✓ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 3.0% 97.0% - ✓

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +14 (77-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Green * 39 7-16 1-6 2-2 0 1 1 0 3 17 0 -
M. Delaney * 38 4-14 1-6 10-10 6 1 0 1 3 19 10 -
V. Davila * 38 4-9 0-0 3-8 6 1 1 1 1 11 10 -
T. Bell * 30 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 6 9 -
J. Allen * 26 1-7 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 2 -2 -
M. Atkins 26 1-5 0-3 4-4 5 0 1 0 1 6 6 -
T. Garland 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
P. Debnam 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler * 39 4-11 0-2 5-5 11 2 0 0 3 13 12 -
N. Smith * 39 8-16 2-6 9-13 2 6 1 0 3 27 17 -
S. Curry * 36 3-5 2-4 2-2 4 0 1 0 2 10 8 -
M. Plumlee * 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 4 6 6 -
M. Plumlee * 22 3-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
R. Kelly 26 3-6 0-1 3-3 2 1 1 0 1 9 6 -
A. Dawkins 13 1-5 1-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
C. Peters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hairston 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Thornton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter