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Duke Blue Devils 92
@
NC State Wolfpack 78
2011-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 80.6% 19.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% - ✓
Margin 74.7% 25.3% -5.9 ✓ (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 80.6% 19.4% - ✓
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 95.4% 4.6% - ✓

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -14 (78-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith * 39 9-19 1-6 3-4 2 6 2 0 3 22 10 -
K. Singler * 35 6-18 2-8 4-4 9 2 0 0 2 18 9 -
M. Plumlee * 26 3-6 0-0 1-2 10 2 0 6 0 7 19 -
R. Kelly * 24 4-4 2-2 1-2 8 0 1 2 2 11 16 -
A. Dawkins * 23 4-8 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 8 -1 -
M. Plumlee 21 4-6 0-0 3-3 8 0 0 0 0 11 13 -
S. Curry 16 2-4 1-2 3-3 0 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
T. Thornton 11 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 5 8 -
J. Hairston 5 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith * 34 7-15 0-0 5-7 9 2 0 0 3 19 12 -
S. Wood * 31 4-7 4-7 3-3 3 1 0 1 0 15 13 -
C.J. Leslie * 30 4-11 0-0 5-10 8 2 4 2 1 13 17 -
L. Brown * 20 0-6 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -5 -
J. Gonzalez * 6 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
R. Harrow 34 4-13 1-1 6-6 2 5 0 0 1 15 8 -
R. Howell 24 4-11 0-0 2-2 7 0 3 1 2 10 8 -
C.J. Williams 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
D. Painter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Vandenberg 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter