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2011-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 82.7% 17.3% -
Bradley-Terry 81.4% 18.6% -
Margin 87.1% 12.9% -10.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 88.6% 11.4% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Log Adjusted 96.7% 3.3% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -24 (59-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith * 37 6-22 1-6 6-6 4 3 3 0 3 19 4 -
K. Singler * 32 9-19 3-8 3-4 7 4 2 0 1 24 17 -
R. Kelly * 31 6-6 4-4 4-4 6 2 2 1 0 20 25 -
M. Plumlee * 22 0-1 0-0 0-2 10 1 0 1 1 0 10 -
A. Dawkins * 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
T. Thornton 22 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 1 4 -
S. Curry 21 1-5 0-4 4-4 2 2 2 0 0 6 7 -
M. Plumlee 19 3-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 2 8 8 -
J. Hairston 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Harris * 35 2-9 2-4 5-8 5 3 1 0 4 11 7 -
T. McKie * 33 5-9 1-1 1-1 9 0 2 0 0 12 14 -
C. Desrosiers * 31 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 5 4 -
A. Stewart * 26 2-7 0-1 1-1 6 3 0 0 1 5 6 -
G. Clark * 20 4-8 3-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 11 4 -
J.T. Terrell 21 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 -1 -
M. Tabb 16 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 3 5 1 -
T. Chennault 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
T. Walker 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 2 1 4 6 -

* = starter