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2011-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 86.6% 13.4% -
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% -
Margin 75.1% 24.9% -6.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 64.0% 36.0% -
Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.8% 7.2% -
Log Adjusted 92.8% 7.2% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes -10 (71-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler * 40 6-12 2-6 0-0 7 3 0 0 0 14 12 -
S. Curry * 39 5-10 4-7 2-4 4 2 5 0 1 16 16 -
N. Smith * 29 6-14 2-4 4-5 3 5 1 0 2 18 11 -
M. Plumlee * 27 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 1 2 12 13 -
R. Kelly * 15 4-5 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 9 7 -
M. Plumlee 23 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 6 7 -
T. Thornton 14 0-0 0-0 6-6 1 1 1 0 0 6 9 -
A. Dawkins 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Scott * 36 4-13 0-1 2-2 3 8 0 0 2 10 6 -
R. Johnson * 35 7-9 0-0 2-3 7 3 0 1 4 16 14 -
M. Grant * 30 6-15 3-6 1-1 3 0 0 0 3 16 1 -
G. Adams * 26 4-5 1-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 9 13 -
J. Gamble * 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 4 4 -
A. Thomas 29 2-8 2-8 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 6 3 -
R. Brown 16 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
D. Jones 12 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 -1 -
E. Swoope 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter