Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +37 (84-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike McCall | 35 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jordair Jett | 31 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Rob Loe | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Cody Ellis | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dwayne Evans | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Paul Eckerle | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Cory Remekun | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Christian Salecich | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kyle Cassity | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brian Conklin | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brian Daly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler | 33 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 31 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 18 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Seth Curry | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Todd Zafirovski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Casey Peters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter