Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✗ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -16 (77-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Williams * | 35 | 11-17 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 29 | - |
| S. Hill * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| L. Jones * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| K. Fogg * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| J. Perry * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| K. Parrom | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Horne | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Mayes | 12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| B. Lavender | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Natyazhko | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Singler * | 35 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| N. Smith * | 34 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -5 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Curry * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Irving | 31 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Kelly | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Thornton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hairston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter