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2011-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% -
Bradley-Terry 1.5% 98.5% -
Margin 26.6% 73.4% +5.6 (21.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.9% 84.1% -
Log Adjusted 16.0% 84.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -16 (77-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams * 35 11-17 5-6 5-6 13 2 2 1 4 32 29 -
S. Hill * 28 5-8 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 1 2 13 10 -
L. Jones * 28 6-10 0-0 4-4 3 6 1 0 0 16 16 -
K. Fogg * 27 3-8 1-5 1-3 0 1 1 0 3 8 -1 -
J. Perry * 22 2-6 0-1 1-2 6 3 0 1 0 5 9 -
K. Parrom 20 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
J. Horne 15 2-4 1-1 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 7 9 -
J. Mayes 12 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -1 -
B. Lavender 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
K. Natyazhko 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler * 35 7-11 2-3 2-3 8 1 2 1 0 18 19 -
N. Smith * 34 3-14 0-3 2-4 5 2 0 0 6 8 -5 -
M. Plumlee * 32 3-5 0-0 2-2 7 3 0 4 1 8 16 -
M. Plumlee * 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
S. Curry * 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
K. Irving 31 9-15 2-4 8-9 0 3 1 0 1 28 16 -
A. Dawkins 22 3-5 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
R. Kelly 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
T. Thornton 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Hairston 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter