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2011-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% -
Bradley-Terry 16.3% 83.7% -
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.4 (36.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% -
Log Adjusted 3.0% 97.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +50 (90-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Christmas-Kelly 0 4-10 1-4 3-3 6 1 1 0 1 12 9 -
K. Thomas 0 3-6 0-0 2-3 17 2 1 1 5 8 18 -
C. Gray 0 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Thomas 0 10-16 5-5 2-4 2 2 4 0 3 27 16 -
A. Vernerey 0 1-7 0-0 1-2 7 3 1 0 3 3 4 -
K. Singler * 36 5-14 0-1 5-6 9 2 2 0 3 15 11 -
S. Curry * 34 3-6 2-4 1-2 1 6 2 0 1 9 11 -
N. Smith * 29 10-20 4-7 4-4 7 4 1 0 3 28 17 -
M. Plumlee * 28 4-7 0-0 1-2 9 3 0 1 2 9 13 -
R. Kelly * 27 4-7 0-2 2-2 6 0 2 1 0 10 12 -
T. Thornton 24 1-2 0-1 4-4 3 2 2 0 0 6 11 -
M. Plumlee 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Dawkins 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Hairston 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter