Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Morris | 29 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| S. Douglass * | 40 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Z. Novak * | 40 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 39 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Morris * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 26 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| E. Smotrycz | 14 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Horford | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. McLimans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Smith * | 38 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| K. Singler * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| S. Curry * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| R. Kelly | 23 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Irving | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
* = starter