Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.9% | 17.1% | -8.7 | ✗ (23.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +15 (93-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Smith * | 38 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 10-14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 24 | - |
| K. Singler * | 38 | 7-17 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 5 | - |
| R. Kelly * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| S. Curry * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 27 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Thornton | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Hairston | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hardy * | 40 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| P. Horne * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Brownlee * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| D.J. Kennedy * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Polee II * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Burrell | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Boothe | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Evans | 11 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
* = starter