Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +24 (76-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wood * | 36 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Brown * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| R. Howell * | 32 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Gonzalez * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Smith * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Painter | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Harrow | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Smith * | 31 | 6-15 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Kyle Singler * | 28 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 25 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Tyler Thornton * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 26 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Seth Curry | 23 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Todd Zafirovski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Casey Peters | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter