Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.2% | 24.8% | -6.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -5 (77-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler | 38 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 35 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Kyrie Irving | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 32 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Seth Curry | 18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Butler III | 38 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| D. Johnson-Odom | 36 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. Crowder | 30 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| V. Blue | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Buycks | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Cadougan | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Gardner | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Otule | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter