Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -5 (77-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Singler | 38 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| N. Smith | 35 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 12 | - |
| K. Irving | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 32 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 26 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Curry | 18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Kelly | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Thornton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Butler III | 38 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| D. Johnson-Odom | 36 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. Crowder | 30 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| V. Blue | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Buycks | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Cadougan | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Gardner | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Otule | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter