🐻⬇️🏀

@
2011-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 27.0% 73.0% -
Bradley-Terry 30.7% 69.3% -
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.7 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 27.9% 72.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +16 (76-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Evans * 34 2-8 0-0 2-4 3 3 2 0 3 6 3 -
M. Farrakhan * 32 4-7 3-3 4-5 3 2 2 0 1 15 14 -
K. Harrell * 26 1-6 0-0 0-3 2 2 0 0 2 2 -2 -
A. Sene * 20 3-6 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 2 8 7 -
W. Sherrill * 14 2-7 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
J. Harris 28 4-8 3-5 4-4 4 0 1 0 3 15 9 -
A. Mitchell 22 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
S. Zeglinski 18 2-6 0-2 4-5 3 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
W. Regan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Baron 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Rogers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Smith * 39 10-19 1-6 8-9 7 6 3 0 5 29 21 -
K. Singler * 39 5-9 1-4 2-2 4 2 0 2 1 13 11 -
A. Dawkins * 32 5-11 3-8 1-1 2 2 0 1 1 14 7 -
M. Plumlee * 28 2-5 0-0 1-3 16 0 0 2 4 5 14 -
R. Kelly * 18 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 8 5 -
S. Curry 27 1-6 0-2 5-5 6 2 1 0 1 7 9 -
T. Thornton 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Hairston 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Plumlee 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter