Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +16 (87-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Williams * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-10 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Terrell Stoglin * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Dino Gregory * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| H. Palsson * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Adrian Bowie * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Cliff Tucker | 22 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Sean Mosley | 18 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Pe'Shon Howard | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| James Padgett | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Berend Weijs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Singler * | 39 | 10-15 | 0-4 | 9-9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 24 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 38 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Nolan Smith * | 31 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -7 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 18 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 13 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter