Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +35 (83-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dunson | 38 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| W. Lemon Jr. | 35 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| A. Warren | 34 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| W. Egolf | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| J. Prosser | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| A. Thompson | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Eastman | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Knezevic | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Woods | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dawkins | 31 | 10-17 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 13 | - |
| K. Singler | 30 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| N. Smith | 30 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| S. Curry | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 21 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| R. Kelly | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Hairston | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Thornton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter