Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +35 (83-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodie Dunson | 38 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Walt Lemon | 35 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Warren | 34 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Will Egolf | 31 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Prosser | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Thompson | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jake Eastman | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Milos Knezevic | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Charonn Woods | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Dawkins | 31 | 10-17 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 30 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 30 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Seth Curry | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 21 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter