Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks -27 (71-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Singler | 35 | 9-15 | 5-9 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 18 | - |
| N. Smith | 30 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 11 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 19 | - |
| K. Irving | 27 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 21 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| R. Kelly | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Curry | 13 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Hairston | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Thornton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Catron | 34 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| E.J. Singler | 24 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Loyd | 24 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| G. Sim | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Williams | 20 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Strowbridge | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Jacob | 20 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Armstead | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Nared | 18 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter