Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (84-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 36 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| K. Lucious | 28 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| D. Summers | 28 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Green | 26 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| G. Sherman | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Roe | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Thornton | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Payne | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Nix | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Appling | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kebler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Singler | 39 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| K. Irving | 36 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 13-16 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 30 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | - |
| N. Smith | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Kelly | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Curry | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter