Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Hurricanes | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Grant | 38 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| D. Scott | 35 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Jones | 30 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| A. Thomas | 23 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Johnson | 23 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| E. Swoope | 17 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| G. Adams | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Gamble | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Akpejiori | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| R. Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Smith | 40 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 40 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 29 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 25 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Seth Curry | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter