Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -15 (41-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Curry * | 39 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| N. Smith * | 36 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 13 | - |
| R. Kelly * | 33 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| K. Singler * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Thornton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Hairston | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Regan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Harris * | 37 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Zeglinski * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Farrakhan * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -5 | - |
| A. Sene * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Evans * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| K. Harrell | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter