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Duke

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History
Coach: Jon Scheyer

2026 Team Stats (38 games)

81.6
PPG
63.6
Opp
+18.0
Margin
49.1%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
72.9%
FT%
40.2
RPG
16.6
APG
10.7
TO
78.2
Pace
86.8
AdjO
57.7
AdjD
#2
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1482 (#2) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1507 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1239 (#3) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +28.9 (#2) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +38.2 (#5) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.946 (#1) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +27.0 More → 0.964 (#17) NetEff +27.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +39.4 More → 0.990 (#2) AdjNet +39.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +39.9 More → 0.990 (#2) AdjNet +39.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.8 | AdjD 57.7 More → 0.934 (#2) AdjO 86.8 | AdjD 57.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 61.5 More → 0.839 (#4) AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 61.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.981 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.973 (#2) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 38 More → 1516 (#3) RD 93 | GP 38

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Texas Longhorns W 75 - 60
2025-11-08 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 95 - 54
2025-11-11 @ Army Black Knights W 114 - 59
2025-11-14 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 100 - 62
2025-11-18 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 78 - 66
2025-11-21 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 100 - 42
2025-11-23 vs Howard Bison W 93 - 56
2025-11-27 @ Arkansas Razorbacks W 80 - 71
2025-12-02 vs Florida Gators W 67 - 66
2025-12-06 @ Michigan State Spartans W 66 - 60
2025-12-16 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 97 - 73
2025-12-20 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 81 - 82
2025-12-31 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 85 - 79
2026-01-03 @ Florida State Seminoles W 91 - 87
2026-01-06 @ Louisville Cardinals W 84 - 73
2026-01-10 vs SMU Mustangs W 82 - 75
2026-01-14 @ California Golden Bears W 71 - 56
2026-01-17 @ Stanford Cardinal W 80 - 50
2026-01-24 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 90 - 69
2026-01-26 vs Louisville Cardinals W 83 - 52
2026-01-31 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 72 - 58
2026-02-03 vs Boston College Eagles W 67 - 49
2026-02-07 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 68 - 71
2026-02-10 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 70 - 54
2026-02-14 vs Clemson Tigers W 67 - 54
2026-02-16 vs Syracuse Orange W 101 - 64
2026-02-21 vs Michigan Wolverines W 68 - 63
2026-02-24 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 100 - 56
2026-02-28 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 77 - 51
2026-03-02 @ NC State Wolfpack W 93 - 64
2026-03-07 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 76 - 61
2026-03-12 vs Florida State Seminoles W 80 - 79
2026-03-13 vs Clemson Tigers W 73 - 61
2026-03-14 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 74 - 70
2026-03-19 vs Siena Saints W 71 - 65
2026-03-21 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 81 - 58
2026-03-27 vs St. John's Red Storm W 80 - 75
2026-03-29 vs UConn Huskies L 72 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cayden Boozer Cayden Boozer - 38 33.5 22.5 10.2 4.1 1.4 0.6 2.5 13.7 22.6 162 7.7 16.9 55.6 39.1 78.9 1.21 66.3 60.7
I. Evans I. Evans G 38 28.3 15.0 3.2 1.3 0.7 0.7 1.1 11.3 8.5 262 12.5 20.5 43.3 36.1 86.0 2.17 59.5 55.0
P. Ngongba II P. Ngongba II - 32 21.9 10.1 5.8 2.0 0.6 1.1 1.3 5.9 12.3 - - - 60.6 25.8 66.4 - 65.7 62.8
C. Foster C. Foster G 33 24.9 8.3 3.5 2.8 0.3 0.1 1.1 6.8 7.0 233 9.7 23.7 44.7 39.8 58.2 1.04 54.6 53.3
Cay. Boozer Cay. Boozer - 38 22.8 7.7 2.3 2.9 0.8 0.1 1.3 5.5 6.9 290 13.8 19.4 50.0 30.3 81.3 2.42 59.9 54.8
Dame Sarr Dame Sarr - 38 23.5 6.4 3.8 1.1 1.0 0.4 1.1 5.4 6.1 229 10.9 24.2 40.6 32.3 53.2 2.14 52.1 51.0
Nikolas Khamenia Nikolas Khamenia - 38 19.7 5.7 3.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.8 4.4 5.5 139 6.6 15.9 44.4 34.0 67.3 0.97 57.2 54.7
M. Brown M. Brown F 38 20.2 4.9 5.2 1.6 1.7 0.6 1.2 3.5 9.4 23 1.0 2.1 62.9 16.7 50.0 -0.2 64.0 64.8
D. Harris D. Harris G 36 9.6 3.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 2.5 2.1 88 4.2 6.0 36.3 33.3 76.9 0.38 55.0 48.9
I. Ufochukwu I. Ufochukwu - 5 4.4 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.4 -1 -0.2 -2.1 50.0 0 0.0 -0.04 45.0 50.0
C. Sheffield C. Sheffield - 15 2.9 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.3 1 0.1 1.4 25.0 28.6 0 -0.07 33.3 33.3
J. Scott J. Scott - 15 2.7 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 156 7.1 17.8 50.0 100.0 0 1.6 66.7 66.7
Sebastian Wilkins Sebastian Wilkins G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG