Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.7% | 96.3% | +23.3 | ✓ (22.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.7 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +1 (80-79). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Wiggins * | 36 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +10.2 |
| Robert McCray V * | 34 | 10-19 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 12 | +19.1 |
| Alex Steen * | 33 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | +6.0 |
| Lajae Jones * | 32 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 8-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 22 | +20.1 |
| Thomas Bassong * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Martin Somerville | 30 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +31.7 |
| Kobe MaGee | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -7.1 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Evans * | 39 | 11-20 | 7-16 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 21 | -5.1 |
| Cam. Boozer * | 39 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 17 | +6.2 |
| Dame Sarr * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Maliq Brown * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 20 | -7.0 |
| Cay. Boozer * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -11.8 |
| Nik Khamenia | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Darren Harris | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.5 |
* = starter