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2026-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% -
Bradley-Terry 6.6% 93.4% -
Margin 2.3% 97.7% +20.6 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 12.5% 87.5% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +1 (80-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wiggins 36 5-8 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 13 9 -
R. McCray V 34 10-19 2-8 3-4 5 4 2 1 6 25 12 -
A. Steen 33 1-1 0-0 0-2 8 3 4 2 1 2 17 -
L. Jones 32 8-15 4-8 8-8 5 1 2 1 0 28 22 -
M. Somerville 30 2-4 2-4 0-2 2 1 3 0 0 6 8 -
K. MaGee 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
T. Bassong 16 2-4 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Evans 39 11-20 7-16 3-4 6 3 1 1 2 32 21 -
Cam. Boozer 39 7-16 2-5 7-9 10 4 1 0 5 23 17 -
D. Sarr 35 1-5 0-3 1-2 5 3 0 1 3 3 4 -
N. Khamenia 29 4-9 1-4 0-1 5 3 1 0 1 9 8 -
M. Brown 28 2-2 0-0 0-4 12 3 3 2 2 4 20 -
Cay. Boozer 22 3-10 0-5 3-3 3 1 1 0 2 9 2 -
D. Harris 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter