Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.7% | 92.3% | +13.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Trimble | 38 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| H. Veesaar | 33 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Stevenson | 33 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Dixon | 32 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| L. Bogavac | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Z. High | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Powell | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kyan. Evans | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Young | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer | 37 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 28 | - |
| D. Sarr | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Brown | 30 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Cay. Boozer | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| I. Evans | 27 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| N. Khamenia | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Harris | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Foster | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Sheffield | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter