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2026-03-21

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% -
Bradley-Terry 11.0% 89.0% -
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.8% 98.2% -
Log Adjusted 1.7% 98.3% -
Points Off/Def 16.8% 83.2% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +23 (81-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Robinson 37 7-18 3-9 1-2 5 2 2 0 0 18 9 -
B. Harding 36 3-8 2-3 0-0 3 4 5 0 2 8 10 -
J. Pierre 33 2-10 0-4 0-0 1 6 2 0 0 4 3 -
D. Punch 30 1-10 0-2 2-2 2 0 2 0 2 4 -4 -
X. Edmonds 20 5-8 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 12 5 -
L. Lelevicius 15 0-4 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 1 1 -
T. Toolson 15 2-7 1-3 0-1 4 0 0 1 1 5 2 -
V. Salatchoum 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 5 -
A. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Posey 2 2-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
K. Edwards 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R.J. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cay. Boozer 36 3-6 0-1 3-3 4 5 0 0 2 9 10 -
Cam. Boozer 33 7-10 0-1 5-5 11 4 3 1 5 19 23 -
D. Sarr 29 4-8 4-7 2-2 8 1 2 1 1 14 17 -
I. Evans 29 6-14 2-8 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 17 6 -
N. Khamenia 26 1-4 1-4 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
M. Brown 26 4-5 0-0 4-5 9 1 0 1 2 12 16 -
P. Ngongba II 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 1 4 4 7 -
D. Harris 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Scott 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Sheffield 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter