Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.1% | 28.9% | -5.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -11 (73-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer | 39 | 10-12 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 25 | +1.2 |
| I. Evans | 36 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 15 | +0.4 |
| C. Foster | 34 | 9-13 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +6.0 |
| M. Brown | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | -2.6 |
| D. Sarr | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Cay. Boozer | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| P. Ngongba II | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2.9 |
| N. Khamenia | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2.6 |
| D. Harris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.6 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Conwell | 33 | 8-19 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 10 | -5.4 |
| A. Wooley | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +5.0 |
| I. McKneely | 31 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -8.3 |
| J. Hadley | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -10.5 |
| K. Rodgers | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.8 |
| A. Khalifa | 20 | 6-6 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | +3.3 |
| S. Fru | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -0.1 |
| K. Rooths | 12 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +10.2 |
| K. Pryor | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -3.1 |
* = starter