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2025-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Lipscomb Bisons Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 2.7% 97.3% -
Bradley-Terry 4.5% 95.5% -
Margin 0.2% 99.8% +34.3 (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% -
Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 3.8% 96.2% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +24 (97-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lipscomb Bisons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Sargiunas 32 5-9 2-5 2-3 2 2 1 0 5 14 5 -16.3
M. Esmeraldo 30 3-13 0-4 8-9 4 8 2 0 3 14 12 -15.2
G. Asman 30 7-13 2-4 2-2 5 1 3 0 1 18 13 -11.5
O. Ashkenazi 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 2 5 -17.5
R. Candelino 22 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 4 +7.8
C. Williams 20 3-7 1-2 4-4 0 1 0 0 3 11 2 -13.5
K. Okpara 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -11.1
E. Duncan 16 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -3 +0.8
K. Boylan 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 2 2 1 4 7 -2.2

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam. Boozer 30 10-17 0-3 6-6 13 3 1 0 6 26 20 +9.7
I. Evans 27 5-10 4-7 2-3 2 3 2 1 4 16 10 +21.6
C. Foster 26 2-6 0-2 4-4 6 2 0 1 0 8 11 +20.6
P. Ngongba II 24 5-9 0-0 0-0 11 1 2 2 2 10 15 +12.3
Cay. Boozer 22 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 4 2 0 4 9 7 -
D. Harris 22 3-6 2-5 3-4 1 2 2 0 0 11 10 +17.8
M. Brown 21 5-6 0-0 1-2 9 2 2 0 0 11 18 -0.7
N. Khamenia 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 0 0 -12.4
D. Sarr 14 2-6 1-3 1-3 5 3 1 0 3 6 6 -6.9

* = starter