Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hall | 30 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Thomas | 30 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| T. De Ridder | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Lewis | 28 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| C. Mallory | 23 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| U. Onyenso | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| J. Grünloh | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Tillis | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. White | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cay. Boozer | 40 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Cam. Boozer | 35 | 3-17 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Sarr | 35 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| N. Khamenia | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| I. Evans | 29 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| M. Brown | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Harris | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter