Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Bradley-Terry | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Margin | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Pythagorean | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Adjusted Efficiency | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Log Adjusted | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Points Off/Def | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +4 (74-70). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Malik Thomas * | 30 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Thijs De Ridder * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Sam Lewis * | 28 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Johann Grünloh * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Chance Mallory | 23 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Devin Tillis | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jacari White | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cay. Boozer * | 40 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Cam. Boozer * | 35 | 3-17 | 1-5 | 6-9 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Dame Sarr * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Evans * | 29 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | -7.9 |
| Maliq Brown * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nik Khamenia | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Darren Harris | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter