Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.5% | 6.5% | -14.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -14 (58-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer | 37 | 9-12 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 22 | +11.0 |
| N. Khamenia | 30 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +10.3 |
| Cay. Boozer | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Foster | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +8.9 |
| P. Ngongba II | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| I. Evans | 23 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | +1.5 |
| M. Brown | 19 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +9.7 |
| D. Sarr | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +0.6 |
| D. Harris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.6 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hammond | 40 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -9.5 |
| A. Hansberry | 37 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | -5.8 |
| J. Bedford | 33 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | -7.7 |
| T. Lawal | 31 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -9.6 |
| N. Avdalas | 29 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +2.1 |
| J. Schutt | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -13.5 |
| C. Gurdak | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Dorn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
* = starter