Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.6% | 70.4% | +4.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Haugh * | 40 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 16 | +3.7 |
| A. Condon * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -3.8 |
| B. Fland * | 29 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 | +10.9 |
| R. Chinyelu * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | +2.8 |
| X. Lee * | 26 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | +1.1 |
| U. Klavzar | 26 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2.7 |
| M. Handlogten | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer * | 36 | 10-21 | 3-9 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 15 | +3.2 |
| C. Foster * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +1.7 |
| P. Ngongba II * | 34 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 18 | +3.6 |
| I. Evans * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 4 | -11.5 |
| N. Khamenia * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -9.7 |
| M. Brown | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -8.4 |
| D. Sarr | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +11.1 |
| Cay. Boozer | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Harris | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +3.9 |
* = starter