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2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Red Raiders Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 14.0% 86.0% -
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% -
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% -
Log Adjusted 8.4% 91.6% -
Points Off/Def 24.5% 75.5% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -1 (81-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Atwell 40 1-3 1-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 5 8 +4.4
C. Anderson 40 9-14 5-9 4-6 3 5 3 0 5 27 19 -
JT Toppin 33 8-13 0-1 3-7 10 0 0 0 2 19 14 +4.3
J. Petty 31 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 0 +4.3
L. Watts 27 10-17 0-4 0-0 6 3 3 0 2 20 13 +4.4
L. Horner 13 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
N. Groves 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Bryan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.3

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam. Boozer 36 7-11 0-2 9-14 8 7 2 1 4 23 26 -3.9
I. Evans 30 1-4 0-2 2-3 5 1 0 0 2 4 4 -4.2
C. Foster 27 3-7 2-4 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 8 5 -4.1
M. Brown 23 3-4 0-0 1-1 5 0 5 1 1 7 13 -
P. Ngongba II 21 1-1 0-0 2-5 4 4 1 0 1 4 11 -4.0
Cay. Boozer 19 5-8 2-5 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 13 7 -3.9
N. Khamenia 18 3-8 2-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 -1 -4.1
D. Harris 16 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Sarr 10 3-7 3-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 9 4 -

* = starter