Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.7% | 89.3% | +14.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -1 (81-82). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Atwell * | 40 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +13.4 |
| Christian Anderson * | 40 | 9-14 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 19 | +8.0 |
| JT Toppin * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | +8.0 |
| LeJuan Watts * | 27 | 10-17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | -11.2 |
| Tyeree Bryan * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.2 |
| Jaylen Petty | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +9.6 |
| Nolan Groves | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +9.8 |
| Leon Horner | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -6.6 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 9-14 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 26 | +5.9 |
| Isaiah Evans * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Caleb Foster * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -10.2 |
| Patrick Ngongba II * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Nik Khamenia * | 18 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | -7.5 |
| Maliq Brown | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Cay. Boozer | 19 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Darren Harris | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +9.0 |
| Dame Sarr | 10 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +7.6 |
* = starter