🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 44.2% 55.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 49.9% 50.1% +0.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 22.9% 77.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Log Adjusted 48.1% 51.9% -
Points Off/Def 47.7% 52.3% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Lendeborg 39 7-15 3-9 4-6 7 3 1 2 1 21 18 +2.9
E. Cadeau 29 1-8 1-6 5-6 0 6 0 0 1 8 5 +6.7
M. Johnson Jr. 28 5-10 1-1 2-2 6 1 1 3 1 13 13 +2.9
T. McKenney 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 0 -7.0
A. Mara 22 4-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 2 0 10 13 +6.6
R. Gayle Jr. 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 5 -2.2
N. Burnett 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.3
L.J. Cason 14 3-6 1-2 0-2 1 2 2 0 2 7 4 +1.0
W. Tschetter 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +2.7

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam. Boozer 34 6-10 1-2 5-7 10 7 0 2 1 18 26 -
P. Ngongba II 28 4-8 0-1 3-5 6 2 1 2 2 11 12 +2.9
C. Foster 27 4-9 2-3 2-2 4 4 0 0 1 12 10 +1.4
D. Sarr 27 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 1 +3.4
I. Evans 24 5-15 2-9 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 14 -1 -9.3
N. Khamenia 24 3-4 0-1 0-1 9 1 1 0 1 6 12 +3.8
M. Brown 19 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 1 1 2 3 -6.0
Cay. Boozer 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter