Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (114-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 33 | 7-19 | 1-9 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Peyton Watson * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 26 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 18 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mario Hezonja | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 34 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 32 | 11-17 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 27 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 31 | 8-17 | 4-12 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 23 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Luguentz Dort | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kingston Flemings | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
* = starter