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2026-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 92.5% 7.5% -
Bradley-Terry 92.2% 7.8% -
Margin 96.7% 3.3% -18.6 (25.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.0% 36.0% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% -
Log Adjusted 95.7% 4.3% -
Points Off/Def 83.7% 16.3% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -44 (56-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Sarr 26 3-6 2-5 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 8 8 -
Cam. Boozer 24 5-8 2-2 12-14 13 2 3 0 0 24 34 -
C. Foster 22 4-6 3-5 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 13 12 -
M. Brown 22 0-3 0-2 0-0 10 2 3 1 0 0 13 -
I. Evans 22 2-7 2-6 4-4 3 3 0 0 0 10 9 -
N. Khamenia 22 2-6 1-4 1-2 6 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
Cay. Boozer 21 3-9 0-4 4-4 3 4 0 0 1 10 7 -
D. Harris 17 4-9 2-5 6-6 2 1 2 0 2 16 10 -
P. Ngongba II 15 4-5 0-0 5-6 3 2 0 0 3 13 10 -
C. Sheffield 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Scott 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Certa 31 3-11 2-7 6-6 2 1 0 0 1 14 5 -
S. Mohammed 28 5-8 1-1 0-1 2 2 1 0 4 11 4 -
B. Koehler 27 5-9 2-5 2-3 5 1 0 0 1 14 10 -
B. Shrewsberry 27 0-7 0-3 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 0 -4 -
C. Towt 24 2-4 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
L. Imes 23 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 3 -1 -
R. Frost 15 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 3 -3 -
G. Sundra 12 0-2 0-2 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. MacLellan 8 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
B. Stevens 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

* = starter