Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.0% | 3.0% | -19.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -16 (54-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer | 38 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| C. Foster | 35 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Sarr | 28 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| I. Evans | 25 | 8-10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| M. Brown | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cay. Boozer | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Harris | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Khamenia | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Minor | 39 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Siulepa | 39 | 6-15 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| B. Dunning Jr. | 35 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| C. Corhen | 35 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| O. Witherspoon | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. Indrusaitis | 21 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| K. Mullen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter