Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +33.0 | ✓ (27.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Folefac | 40 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| B. Coyle | 40 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| R. Mulvey | 40 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| G. Doty | 40 | 7-20 | 3-12 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | - |
| J. Shoats | 40 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cay. Boozer | 39 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Cam. Boozer | 39 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 13-14 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 23 | - |
| I. Evans | 32 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| D. Sarr | 31 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Brown | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| N. Khamenia | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Harris | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter