Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | -6.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -9 (71-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer * | 36 | 13-18 | 2-4 | 7-11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 28 | -8.0 |
| C. Foster * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 15 | +12.4 |
| I. Evans * | 32 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5.9 |
| P. Ngongba II * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +3.8 |
| D. Sarr * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2.6 |
| N. Khamenia | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +17.2 |
| M. Brown | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | +6.5 |
| Cay. Boozer | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Acuff Jr. * | 38 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | -1.6 |
| T. Brazile * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 18 | +1.6 |
| K. Knox * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -14.0 |
| N. Pringle * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| D.J. Wagner * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -8.8 |
| M. Thomas | 26 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +2.3 |
| B. Richmond III | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 10 | +2.4 |
| M. Ewin | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -6.1 |
* = starter