Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.1% | 13.9% | -10.0 | ✓ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -29 (64-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam. Boozer | 32 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 28 | - |
| I. Evans | 26 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Foster | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Sarr | 22 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| M. Brown | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| P. Ngongba II | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Cay. Boozer | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Khamenia | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Harris | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Scott | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Sheffield | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. McNeil | 34 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Able | 32 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Dar. Williams | 29 | 6-17 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Q. Copeland | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Arceneaux | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Sagnia | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Breed | 16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| V. Lubin | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Ebube | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. Holloman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter