Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | +9.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +31 (83-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Conwell | 37 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | -27.8 |
| M. Brown Jr. | 34 | 1-13 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -3 | - |
| J. Hadley | 29 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -23.4 |
| I. McKneely | 29 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -14.8 |
| S. Fru | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -26.1 |
| A. Wooley | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | -17.1 |
| A. Khalifa | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +4.4 |
| V. Zougris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -5.2 |
| K. Rodgers | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Foster | 31 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +21.9 |
| Cam. Boozer | 31 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | +16.1 |
| D. Sarr | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +25.7 |
| I. Evans | 26 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +22.4 |
| P. Ngongba II | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +25.4 |
| Cay. Boozer | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Brown | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| N. Khamenia | 15 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +6.3 |
| D. Harris | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.8 |
| J. Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.1 |
| C. Sheffield | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.1 |
* = starter